Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.9%). Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Norris 49.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 61.1%
Neutral zone
Haula 59.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Haula
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Haula
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Haula
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
50.5% (388)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
47.6% (84)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
42.9% (7)
-0.5%
On power play, Haula has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Haula
Norris
Home
48.5% (468)
48.1% (233)
Away
51.1% (423)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Haula
Norris
P1
52.5%
53.1%
P2
51.1%
49.2%
P3
45.9%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Josh Norris |