Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sasson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sasson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Sasson 44.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sasson 67.1%
Defensive zone
Sasson 59.9%
Neutral zone
Sasson 61.4%
Result
Max Sasson favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Rodrigues
Sasson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
Sasson
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 Sasson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Sasson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Sasson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sasson
0
4
Rodrigues
Sasson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Sasson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
41.7% (266)
+6.1%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
47.4% (19)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
0.0% (1)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sasson shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Sasson is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Sasson
Home
47.9% (445)
35.6% (101)
Away
45.4% (346)
45.4% (185)
By Period
Rodrigues
Sasson
P1
48.3%
41.5%
P2
47.0%
38.1%
P3
44.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Max Sasson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |