Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.8% vs Hecht 43.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Hecht leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 66.7%
Defensive zone
Hecht 81.6%
Neutral zone
Hecht 55.6%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Malkin
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Malkin
Hecht
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
3
7
Malkin
Hecht
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
3
Malkin
Hecht
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (366)
42.9% (273)
+4.6%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
16.7% (6)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
39.2% (74)
+35.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Malkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (265).
Malkin shoots left. Hecht is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hecht
Home
52.1% (213)
44.2% (208)
Away
42.0% (200)
37.9% (145)
By Period
Malkin
Hecht
P1
47.2%
39.8%
P2
44.4%
39.1%
P3
50.0%
46.2%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.2%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |