Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Koivu 51.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 62.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 73.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Malkin
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Malkin
Koivu
Last 6: Malkin 0-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Malkin
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Malkin
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Malkin
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
50.7% (1,073)
-7.1%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
65.3% (216)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.4% (286)
-43.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Malkin shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Malkin
Koivu
Home
44.2% (489)
50.9% (752)
Away
43.3% (563)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Malkin
Koivu
P1
40.9%
51.9%
P2
42.2%
50.3%
P3
48.5%
51.4%
OT
40.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |