Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.2% vs 47.6%). Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.8% vs Jokinen 47.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 51.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Malkin
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Malkin
Jokinen
Last 9: Malkin 6-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Malkin
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (366)
46.8% (566)
+0.7%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
53.4% (58)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
80.0% (5)
-5.0%
On power play, Jokinen has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Malkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (265).
Malkin shoots left. Jokinen is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Malkin
Jokinen
Home
52.1% (213)
49.5% (319)
Away
42.0% (200)
45.7% (311)
By Period
Malkin
Jokinen
P1
47.2%
49.1%
P2
44.4%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.2%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |