Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Nash 50.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 72.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 67.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Malkin
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Malkin
Nash
Last 8: Malkin 2-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Malkin
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
4
Malkin
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
50.1% (752)
-7.0%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
53.8% (104)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
53.9% (102)
-37.2%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Malkin is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Malkin shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nash
Home
42.6% (338)
51.0% (502)
Away
42.7% (417)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Malkin
Nash
P1
40.9%
49.4%
P2
45.3%
50.9%
P3
42.0%
52.1%
OT
40.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
42.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |