Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.1% vs Carter 51.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 78.3%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 81.1%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 79.0%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kuznetsov
Carter
Last 6: Kuznetsov 1-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Kuznetsov
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Kuznetsov
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (747)
52.2% (552)
-8.7%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
56.4% (94)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
41.0% (100)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
43.7% (414)
51.2% (324)
Away
42.9% (389)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
43.7%
49.8%
P2
44.1%
52.8%
P3
42.1%
51.2%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |