Scouting Report
Berkly Catton holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Catton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Catton wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Catton 46.9% vs Svechkov 43.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Catton 82.2%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 57.2%
Neutral zone
Catton 63.7%
Result
Berkly Catton favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Catton
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Catton
Svechkov
Last 6: Catton 4-2 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Catton
3
0
Catton
Svechkov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
1
Catton
Svechkov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Catton
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Catton
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (113)
41.7% (472)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
33.3% (3)
+21.2%
On power play, Catton has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Catton is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Catton shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Catton
Svechkov
Home
50.0% (72)
39.7% (247)
Away
36.5% (52)
44.0% (234)
By Period
Catton
Svechkov
P1
48.8%
36.1%
P2
39.6%
44.5%
P3
45.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
36.4%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Catton
46.0%▲
44.4%
44.4%
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Berkly Catton |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Berkly Catton |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Berkly Catton |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Berkly Catton |