Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Minten 48.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 72.0%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 70.1%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 72.9%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Svechkov
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Svechkov
Minten
Last 6: Svechkov 1-5 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
0
1
Svechkov
Minten
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
2
Svechkov
Minten
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
0
2
Svechkov
Minten
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
49.6% (651)
-7.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.0% (50)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
35.6% (45)
+14.4%
On power play, Minten has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Svechkov shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Minten
Home
39.7% (247)
52.4% (349)
Away
44.0% (234)
45.3% (397)
By Period
Svechkov
Minten
P1
36.1%
45.4%
P2
44.5%
47.1%
P3
44.1%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
42.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |