Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Barron 46.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 86.2%
Defensive zone
Barron 75.7%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 58.9%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Svechkov
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Svechkov
Barron
Last 10: Svechkov 4-6 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
1
3
Svechkov
Barron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
3
Svechkov
Barron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
48.6% (381)
-6.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
41.7% (187)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Svechkov has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Svechkov shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Barron
Home
39.7% (247)
44.4% (306)
Away
44.0% (234)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Svechkov
Barron
P1
36.1%
45.5%
P2
44.5%
49.8%
P3
44.1%
43.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |