Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Chytil 41.2% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 50.4%
Defensive zone
Chytil 59.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.4%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Mercer
Chytil
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
39.9% (579)
+3.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
38.3% (47)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
40.0% (5)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Chytil is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Mercer
Chytil
Home
39.0% (82)
38.2% (285)
Away
45.8% (83)
41.0% (346)
By Period
Mercer
Chytil
P1
45.5%
38.0%
P2
44.0%
42.1%
P3
36.7%
39.2%
Final 5 min
36.6%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
42.4%
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
39.8%