Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Vatrano wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 41.6% vs Gregor 40.4% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 57.4%
Defensive zone
Gregor 56.9%
Neutral zone
Gregor 51.4%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Vatrano
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (209)
36.6% (202)
+1.7%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
28.6% (14)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
0.0% (1)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Vatrano has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Vatrano is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Vatrano shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Gregor
Home
37.1% (116)
36.2% (116)
Away
39.1% (128)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Vatrano
Gregor
P1
37.8%
36.8%
P2
33.3%
28.0%
P3
43.0%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
38.1%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%