Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.9%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Zacha 49.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 62.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 63.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 54.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Nielsen
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nielsen
Zacha
Last 5: Nielsen 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Nielsen
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Nielsen
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
47.8% (619)
+1.9%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
58.6% (29)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
54.7% (64)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nielsen shoots left. Zacha is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Zacha
Home
49.8% (422)
50.8% (394)
Away
47.9% (501)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Nielsen
Zacha
P1
48.8%
48.5%
P2
48.7%
51.2%
P3
49.0%
47.6%
OT
43.8%
16.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |