Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.6% vs Koivu 52.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 67.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 70.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 67.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Nielsen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nielsen
Koivu
Last 6: Nielsen 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Nielsen
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Nielsen
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (766)
52.7% (873)
-6.5%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
63.1% (168)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (125)
47.9% (267)
+0.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Nielsen is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Nielsen shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Koivu
Home
46.8% (489)
56.7% (601)
Away
45.6% (476)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Nielsen
Koivu
P1
45.5%
51.2%
P2
47.5%
55.2%
P3
46.5%
51.3%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |