Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 72.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 70.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 50.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Nielsen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Nielsen
Kuraly
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
4
Nielsen
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
56.4% (101)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
44.4% (1,091)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Kuraly
Home
49.9% (4,766)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Nielsen
Kuraly
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
47.6%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
50.2%
OT
46.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |