Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Ellis 46.8% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Minten 61.4%
Defensive zone
Ellis 51.5%
Neutral zone
Ellis 53.6%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Minten
Ellis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
47.3% (607)
+1.6%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
28.6% (7)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
42.1% (95)
-5.4%
On power play, Minten has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Minten is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (624).
Minten shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Minten
Ellis
Home
51.9% (476)
48.5% (303)
Away
44.4% (475)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Minten
Ellis
P1
44.4%
50.0%
P2
46.8%
46.2%
P3
52.3%
41.3%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%