Anthony Cirelli vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 88.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 53.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 84.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Cirelli
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Gaudreau
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
0
Cirelli
Gaudreau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Cirelli
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
44.9% (414)
+5.2%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
31.8% (22)
+37.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
38.0% (129)
-1.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Gaudreau
Home
53.0% (470)
42.6% (277)
Away
45.0% (509)
43.1% (288)
By Period
Cirelli
Gaudreau
P1
50.6%
44.1%
P2
49.2%
44.7%
P3
47.2%
39.5%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |