Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dumont wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dumont 44.8% vs McKegg 49.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dumont 66.4%
Defensive zone
McKegg 57.4%
Neutral zone
Dumont 52.6%
Result
Gabriel Dumont favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dumont
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dumont
McKegg
Last 7: Dumont 3-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dumont
2
0
Dumont
McKegg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
4
Dumont
McKegg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dumont
1
0
Dumont
McKegg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dumont
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
48.1% (189)
-7.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
57.5% (40)
-35.3%
On power play, Dumont has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Dumont is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Dumont shoots right. McKegg is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Dumont
McKegg
Home
35.2% (54)
52.9% (102)
Away
44.9% (49)
46.6% (131)
By Period
Dumont
McKegg
P1
43.6%
48.5%
P2
42.1%
49.4%
P3
30.8%
50.9%
Final 5 min
34.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dumont
34.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Gabriel Dumont |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Gabriel Dumont |