Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.7%). McKegg wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.5% vs Dowd 49.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 62.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
McKegg
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McKegg
Dowd
Last 5: McKegg 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
McKegg
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
0
McKegg
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
McKegg
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (184)
50.7% (379)
-1.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
64.3% (14)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
46.5% (157)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McKegg is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (68).
McKegg shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
McKegg
Dowd
Home
50.0% (112)
53.7% (244)
Away
48.5% (99)
46.6% (307)
By Period
McKegg
Dowd
P1
42.4%
53.6%
P2
55.4%
44.1%
P3
49.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.3%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |