Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.8%). Look for Campbell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Campbell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.5% vs Campbell 48.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 67.7%
Defensive zone
Campbell 74.2%
Neutral zone
Campbell 63.5%
Result
Gregory Campbell favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Roy
Campbell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Roy
Campbell
Last 6: Roy 1-5 Campbell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Campbell
0
1
Roy
Campbell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Campbell
0
2
Roy
Campbell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Campbell
1
2
Roy
Campbell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Campbell
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (351)
47.4% (641)
-4.4%
Power Play
61.3% (106)
50.0% (4)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
50.0% (104)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Campbell has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Campbell shoots left. Roy is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Roy shoots left. Campbell is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Roy
Campbell
Home
52.3% (241)
47.8% (337)
Away
41.3% (225)
47.8% (412)
By Period
Roy
Campbell
P1
51.6%
47.7%
P2
46.4%
49.4%
P3
43.1%
46.2%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |