Scouting Report
Gregory Campbell holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Campbell 50.6% vs Aucoin 48.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 68.4%
Defensive zone
Campbell 50.3%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 57.2%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Campbell
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Campbell
Aucoin
Last 8: Campbell 2-6 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
2
Campbell
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Campbell
Aucoin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
1
3
Campbell
Aucoin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Campbell
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (558)
46.5% (114)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
40.0% (5)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (100)
100.0% (2)
-56.0%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Campbell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Campbell shoots left. Aucoin is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Campbell
Aucoin
Home
53.6% (351)
52.9% (51)
Away
47.7% (327)
42.9% (70)
By Period
Campbell
Aucoin
P1
53.2%
55.6%
P2
49.3%
42.3%
P3
49.8%
46.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
32.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |