Scouting Report
Oliver Moore holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 43.4% vs Moore 48.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 62.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 78.5%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 66.5%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Lapierre
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lapierre
Moore
Last 5: Lapierre 1-4 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Lapierre
Moore
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
0
3
Lapierre
Moore
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (264)
50.3% (187)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
33.3% (15)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+0.0%
On power play, Lapierre has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Lapierre is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Lapierre shoots left. Moore is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Moore
Home
44.2% (138)
52.3% (132)
Away
37.6% (133)
41.1% (73)
By Period
Lapierre
Moore
P1
55.2%
44.3%
P2
40.6%
54.2%
P3
26.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
35.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |