Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 43.4% vs Carrick 54.2% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 87.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 70.0%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 79.8%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Lapierre
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lapierre
Carrick
Last 5: Lapierre 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Lapierre
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (264)
55.5% (470)
-14.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
66.7% (3)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (58)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lapierre is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Lapierre shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Carrick
Home
44.2% (138)
58.6% (261)
Away
37.6% (133)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Lapierre
Carrick
P1
55.2%
55.9%
P2
40.6%
53.5%
P3
26.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
35.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |