Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sedin wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 46.8% vs Thornton 51.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 82.4%
Defensive zone
Sedin 72.6%
Neutral zone
Sedin 67.8%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Sedin
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Sedin
Thornton
Last 7: Sedin 1-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Sedin
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Sedin
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Sedin
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (822)
52.7% (372)
-7.6%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
47.6% (63)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Sedin is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (628).
Sedin shoots left. Thornton is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Sedin
Thornton
Home
51.2% (475)
51.2% (250)
Away
41.8% (467)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Sedin
Thornton
P1
47.1%
56.1%
P2
47.1%
52.8%
P3
45.2%
47.4%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |