Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Compher 51.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 60.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 55.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 58.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Henrique
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Compher
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Henrique
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Compher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Henrique
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
53.1% (784)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
54.8% (31)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
36.8% (95)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Henrique
Compher
Home
52.4% (227)
51.3% (452)
Away
55.2% (324)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Henrique
Compher
P1
57.0%
54.9%
P2
52.5%
49.0%
P3
52.4%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |