J.T. Compher vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Pageau 58.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 85.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.1%
11.9%
88.1%
Compher
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Compher
Pageau
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
4
2
Compher
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
59.3% (715)
-6.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
68.3% (41)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
59.7% (221)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Compher
Pageau
Home
51.3% (452)
58.1% (418)
Away
51.5% (458)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Compher
Pageau
P1
54.9%
55.3%
P2
49.0%
61.5%
P3
50.6%
61.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |