Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Nosek 48.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 55.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 70.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 61.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Compher
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Compher
Nosek
Last 5: Compher 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
52.0% (102)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
100.0% (2)
-45.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
29.0% (31)
+7.8%
On power play, Nosek has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Compher
Nosek
Home
51.3% (452)
52.0% (50)
Away
51.5% (458)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Compher
Nosek
P1
54.9%
45.0%
P2
49.0%
42.0%
P3
50.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |