Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Miller 54.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 62.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 93.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 77.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Grant
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Grant
Miller
Last 10: Grant 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
10
Grant
Miller
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
4
Grant
Miller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
2
Grant
Miller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
55.3% (6,690)
-1.6%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
58.0% (1,289)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
48.4% (919)
-2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Home / Away
Grant
Miller
Home
54.3% (1,956)
56.0% (4,622)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
53.8% (4,276)
By Period
Grant
Miller
P1
51.1%
54.8%
P2
51.5%
55.7%
P3
54.3%
54.1%
OT
35.7%
62.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |