Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Drouin 49.5% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 62.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 75.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 74.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Miller
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Miller
Drouin
Last 5: Miller 3-2 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Drouin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Drouin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
47.5% (181)
+14.5%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
56.8% (44)
+9.1%
On even strength, Miller has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Miller
Drouin
Home
63.0% (416)
49.5% (97)
Away
60.1% (363)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Miller
Drouin
P1
60.7%
52.1%
P2
63.9%
51.5%
P3
60.2%
45.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |