Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +28.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Zegras 37.0% (+28.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 88.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 98.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 96.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 96.0%
96.0%
4.0%
Miller
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Miller
Zegras
Last 6: Miller 6-0 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
33.0% (264)
+29.0%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
32.1% (56)
+33.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
50.0% (2)
+0.7%
On power play, Miller has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Miller
Zegras
Home
63.0% (416)
35.3% (173)
Away
60.1% (363)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Miller
Zegras
P1
60.7%
33.0%
P2
63.9%
35.7%
P3
60.2%
29.7%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
64.4%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |