Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Drury 58.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 74.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 51.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Dvorak
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Drury
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Drury
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
2
Dvorak
Drury
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Dvorak
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
61.3% (690)
-7.1%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
40.0% (10)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
50.9% (165)
-4.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Drury
Home
53.9% (497)
59.0% (417)
Away
53.3% (522)
59.2% (448)
By Period
Dvorak
Drury
P1
54.6%
58.9%
P2
53.2%
58.3%
P3
54.3%
59.9%
OT
34.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jack Drury |