Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Drury 57.7% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 73.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 62.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 74.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Rodrigues
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
Drury
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Rodrigues
Drury
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
3
Rodrigues
Drury
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Drury
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
60.7% (702)
-12.9%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
40.0% (10)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
50.9% (165)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Drury is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Drury
Home
47.9% (445)
58.0% (429)
Away
45.4% (346)
59.2% (448)
By Period
Rodrigues
Drury
P1
48.3%
58.6%
P2
47.0%
57.9%
P3
44.8%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |