Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Evans 55.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 90.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 71.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 83.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Drury
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Drury
Evans
Last 9: Drury 9-0 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
55.6% (522)
+5.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
72.7% (11)
-32.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
55.2% (210)
-4.3%
On power play, Evans has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Drury is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Drury shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Drury
Evans
Home
59.0% (417)
54.7% (402)
Away
59.2% (448)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Drury
Evans
P1
58.9%
57.9%
P2
58.3%
55.2%
P3
59.9%
53.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jack Drury |