Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Harkins 50.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 79.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 95.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 92.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Drury
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Drury
Harkins
Last 7: Drury 6-1 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Harkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Harkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Harkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
49.7% (173)
+11.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
77.8% (9)
-37.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
66.7% (3)
-15.8%
On power play, Harkins has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Drury shoots left. Harkins is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Drury
Harkins
Home
58.0% (429)
55.3% (85)
Away
59.2% (448)
48.0% (100)
By Period
Drury
Harkins
P1
58.6%
71.4%
P2
57.9%
41.8%
P3
59.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Jack Drury |