Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 72.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 61.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Drury
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drury
Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Drury 3-3 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Drury
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Drury
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
47.3% (207)
+13.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
100.0% (3)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
33.3% (3)
+17.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Drury shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Drury
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.0% (429)
46.5% (129)
Away
59.2% (448)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Drury
Kotkaniemi
P1
58.6%
51.3%
P2
57.9%
46.1%
P3
59.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |