Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Duchene 51.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 89.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 83.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Drury
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Drury
Duchene
Last 10: Drury 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Drury
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
51.1% (366)
+10.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
61.5% (65)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
16.7% (6)
+34.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Drury
Duchene
Home
59.0% (417)
51.7% (201)
Away
59.2% (448)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Drury
Duchene
P1
58.9%
49.0%
P2
58.3%
57.1%
P3
59.9%
49.2%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |