Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Poehling 47.9% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 91.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 79.9%
Neutral zone
Drury 88.8%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Drury
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Drury
Poehling
Last 6: Drury 5-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
50.5% (666)
+10.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
58.3% (12)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
38.6% (215)
+12.3%
On power play, Poehling has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Poehling is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Drury
Poehling
Home
59.0% (417)
47.3% (404)
Away
59.2% (448)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Drury
Poehling
P1
58.9%
53.5%
P2
58.3%
40.1%
P3
59.9%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jack Drury |