Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Novak 42.6% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 66.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 97.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 94.8%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Drury
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Novak
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
40.5% (405)
+20.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
45.5% (33)
-5.5%
On even strength, Drury has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Novak is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Drury
Novak
Home
59.0% (417)
42.0% (212)
Away
59.2% (448)
39.8% (226)
By Period
Drury
Novak
P1
58.9%
41.7%
P2
58.3%
39.5%
P3
59.9%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Jack Drury |