Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Drury
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drury
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Drury
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
53.2% (201)
+8.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.0% (25)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
44.4% (9)
+6.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Drury is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Drury shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Drury
Seguin
Home
59.0% (417)
56.3% (126)
Away
59.2% (448)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Drury
Seguin
P1
58.9%
44.3%
P2
58.3%
52.1%
P3
59.9%
62.5%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 03:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |