Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Barzal 41.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 57.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Eichel
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Barzal
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Eichel
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Eichel
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (894)
40.4% (465)
+7.7%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
34.2% (38)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
28.6% (7)
+13.1%
On power play, Eichel has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Eichel shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Eichel
Barzal
Home
48.0% (548)
38.2% (246)
Away
47.9% (509)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Eichel
Barzal
P1
49.8%
46.3%
P2
48.9%
35.7%
P3
46.4%
38.1%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.0%
Barzal
38.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |