Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Backlund 49.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 77.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Eichel
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Eichel
Backlund
Last 10: Eichel 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Eichel
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
6
1
Eichel
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (894)
50.1% (930)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
51.5% (66)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
47.8% (293)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Eichel shoots right. Backlund is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Eichel
Backlund
Home
48.0% (548)
48.1% (636)
Away
47.9% (509)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Eichel
Backlund
P1
49.8%
45.2%
P2
48.9%
54.2%
P3
46.4%
48.8%
OT
37.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.0%
Backlund
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |