Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Marner 42.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 51.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 53.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Eichel
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
0
1
Eichel
Marner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Marner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
41.7% (496)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
55.6% (18)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
35.4% (65)
+2.4%
On even strength, Eichel has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Eichel is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,913).
Eichel shoots right. Marner is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Eichel
Marner
Home
45.8% (4,954)
38.0% (321)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Eichel
Marner
P1
45.5%
38.7%
P2
45.8%
41.5%
P3
44.1%
45.5%
OT
44.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |