Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.8%). Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Mitchell 50.8% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Finley 58.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 51.4%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 54.1%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Finley
Mitchell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
50.7% (2,523)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.3% (35)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
50.7% (473)
+0.8%
On power play, Mitchell has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Finley
Mitchell
Home
53.8% (199)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
45.5% (132)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Finley
Mitchell
P1
52.8%
54.8%
P2
47.5%
48.1%
P3
51.6%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%