Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.0%). Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs McBain 50.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 52.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 65.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 62.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Compher
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Compher
McBain
Last 7: Compher 6-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
52.5% (569)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
42.1% (19)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
36.2% (47)
+0.6%
On power play, Compher has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Compher
McBain
Home
51.3% (452)
52.4% (309)
Away
51.5% (458)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Compher
McBain
P1
54.9%
54.0%
P2
49.0%
52.7%
P3
50.6%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |