Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.2%). Look for Rooney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Rooney 46.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 61.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 54.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
McBain
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McBain
Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Rooney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
2
McBain
Rooney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
46.7% (2,042)
+1.4%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
41.7% (48)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
43.4% (267)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
McBain
Rooney
Home
49.1% (1,379)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
McBain
Rooney
P1
47.1%
48.1%
P2
47.4%
47.1%
P3
45.4%
43.6%
OT
37.5%
12.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |