Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Dach 45.1% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 60.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 79.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 73.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
McBain
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McBain
Dach
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Dach
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
Dach
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
39.8% (108)
+12.7%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
57.1% (7)
-15.0%
On power play, Dach has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
McBain shoots left. Dach is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
McBain
Dach
Home
52.4% (309)
43.1% (72)
Away
49.7% (326)
37.2% (43)
By Period
McBain
Dach
P1
54.0%
37.8%
P2
52.7%
41.7%
P3
46.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |