Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.4% vs 43.9%). Groulx wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rose shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.6% vs Rose 44.3% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Rose 58.0%
Defensive zone
Groulx 53.5%
Neutral zone
Groulx 51.4%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Groulx
Rose
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Rose
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (381)
44.0% (1,358)
+1.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
47.6% (21)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
43.2% (139)
-7.6%
On power play, Rose has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rose shoots left. Groulx is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Groulx shoots left. Rose is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (963).
Home / Away
Groulx
Rose
Home
50.0% (244)
46.0% (781)
Away
36.6% (235)
41.8% (737)
By Period
Groulx
Rose
P1
45.0%
45.9%
P2
43.7%
43.5%
P3
41.7%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
36.0%▼
39.0%
43.4%
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%