Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Peca 50.2% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Dowell 50.8%
Defensive zone
Dowell 50.5%
Neutral zone
Dowell 51.2%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dowell
Peca
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
51.5% (423)
-2.4%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
12.5% (8)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
44.2% (43)
+2.7%
On power play, Dowell has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Dowell
Peca
Home
51.8% (413)
46.1% (193)
Away
45.8% (443)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Dowell
Peca
P1
50.4%
56.6%
P2
46.6%
44.4%
P3
49.7%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%