Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Finley 65.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.8%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Finley
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (275)
53.7% (3,740)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.6% (71)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
47.1% (1,228)
+6.0%
On power play, Evans has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Finley
Evans
Home
53.8% (199)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
46.7% (122)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Finley
Evans
P1
54.7%
54.0%
P2
47.4%
50.9%
P3
52.1%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
51.1%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%