Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 55.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.1%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 52.5%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Evans
Brodziak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
50.5% (6,432)
+3.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.8% (326)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
45.5% (1,344)
+1.6%
On power play, Evans has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Home / Away
Evans
Brodziak
Home
53.3% (2,621)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Evans
Brodziak
P1
54.0%
49.2%
P2
50.9%
50.7%
P3
52.0%
49.5%
OT
46.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%